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Monday, December 26, 2011

Market Outlook 26.12.11

It was another dull day for Indian Market on Friday. Most of the time market remained volatile. Market opened gap up and remained positive for the first half of the trading session, but came down sharply and closed in negative. Sensex was at 15738.70 (-74.66), Nifty was at 4714 (-19.85) and Nifty Fut 4721.65 (-27.25).

But both benchmark indexes gained substantially during the last week. Oil & Gas, Auto and Banking stocks were top gainers last week and Capital Goods closed with lost most of the week.

US and European markets closed positive on 23 Dec 2011.

Nifty watch for 26.12.11

Nifty may face stiff resistance at 4745 and Strong support at 4640

Other support levels for Nifty are 4662/4680/4702

Nifty may try to hit 4767/4785/4820/4834 today. A close above 4763 may lead to 4950 and 5050 in coming days

Where as on downside below 4640 Nifty may go upto 4603/4590/4564 today. A close below 4590 may lead Nifty to a panci situation and may go down up to 4500 and 4450

But as usually December is a bullish month, this year also expected to be positive.


Past Performance

Day's (23.12.11) Performance
1. Buy Sbin fut at 1671 SL 1660 TGT 1680/1690 - Booked full profit at 1680 - Profit of Rs. 1125/-
2. JSW Steel Buy above 517.75 TGT 523/528 Sl 509 - Booked full profit at 523 - Profit of Rs. 5.25 per share
3. Buy Reliance 800 CE 4.70-5.00 TGT 8/10/12/15 SL 1.50 - holding
4. Buy TATAMOTORS 190 CE at 1.60-2.00 tgt 3.40/5 SL 0.50 - holding
5. Sell Axis bank Fut below 870 TGT 863/855 Sl 877 - trigger price not met - exited at cost
6. Sell Nifty Fut below 4743 SL 4761 TGT 4728/4711 - trigger price not met - exited at cost


Day's (22.12.11) Performance
1. Buy Nifty Fut 4675 Sl 4658 TGT 4689/4707/4724 - SL hit - Loss of Rs. 850/-
2. Titan Fut Buy at 165.60 SL 161 TGT 169/172/175 - call not execueted
3. Jindal Poly Buy at 163.60 SL 157 TGT 167/171/173/176 - Book part profit at 171 - revise SL at 165 - Profit Rs. 7.40 per share
4. Buy Reliance 760 CE at 8 SL 4.50 TGT 12/15/17 - call was given on 21.12.11 - All targets achieved - Profit of Rs. 2250/-


Day's (21.12.11) Performance

1. Buy reliance Fut above 732 SL 721 TGT 743 - Book full profit - Profit Rs. 2750/-
2. Buy Nifty fut at CMP(4625-4231) SL 4610 TGT 4641/4672/4685 - Booked all profit at 4680 - Profit Rs. 2750/-
3. Buy Axis Bank fut at 834 TGT 839/845 SL 825 - Booked profit at 841- Profit Rs. 1750/-
4. Sell Nifty at 4624 TGT 4610/4595 SL 4641 - Call not executed
5. Buy Reliance 760 CE at 8 SL 4.50 TGT 12/15/17 - made a high of 11.95 - Profit Rs. 987.50
Total Profit Rs. 8237.50

Day's (20.12.11) Performance
1. Sell Axis Bank Fut at 811.50 SL 820 TGT 806/799 - Trigger Price Not Met at the given time of call - advised to close call
2. Sell Axis Ban Fut at 805 TGT 791/783 SL 813.50 - Trigger Price not met at the given time of call - advised to close call
3. Buy Nifty Dec Fut above 4608 TGT 4621/4635 SL 4582 - Trigger Price not met at the given time of call - advised to close call
4. Buy Reliance Fut at CMP (735-740) TGT 770 SL 722 - Advised to exit at 725 - loss of Rs. 2500/-
Day's Total Profit/Loss: 2500/-



Day's (19.12.11) Preformance
Sell Nifty Fut at 4589.75 (CMP 4597) TGT 4576/4559 SL 4611.75 - SL Triggered - Loss Rs. 1100/-
Buy Nifty 4700 CE at 45-50 TGT 72 SL 30 - Exit at cost (52)
Sell Nifty at 4641 SL 4659 TGT 4628 - Call was given at Dec 16 & advised to hold for TGT 4609 - TGT achieved on Dec 19- Profit Rs. 1600/-
Sell Axis Bank Dec Fut at 870-880 TGT 861/850 Sl 891.50 - Booked Profit at 850/- - Profit Rs. 7500/-

Day's (15.12.11) Performance
1. Buy Axis bank DEC 2011 CE 1000 Buy at 10-12 TGT 16/20/24 - booked profit at 14.50 - profit of Rs. 1125/-
2. Tatamotors Dec 2011 CE 180 at 3.75-3.85 SL 1.75 TGT 4.9/5.50/6.20 -booked profit at 5.75 - Profit of Rs. 2375/-
3. Buy Nifty Dec 2011 CE 4900 at 55-58 SL 43 TGT 72/84 - Sl hit - Loss of Rs. 600/-
4. Buy SBIN DEC fut at 1712 TGT 1719/1727 SL 1698 - call not executed
5. Sell Nifty at 4708 TGT 4694/4677/4660 Sl 4727 - All TGTs achieved - Rs. 2400/-
6. Sell Nifty at 4641 SL 4659 TGT 4628 - TGT achieved - Rs.650/-
Total Profit for the day- Rs. 5950/-


Day's (14.12.11) Performance
1.
Buy Nifty fut with TGT of 4813/4830/4842 Sl 4720 - 1st and 2nd TGT achieved - Profit Rs. 2850/-
2.
Buy Nifty around 4807 or 4778 SL 4725.75 TGT 4844.05/4863.70/4891.35 ..... hold up to Friday TGT 4920/4934 - 1st TGT achieved and advised to exit - Profit Rs. 1850/-


Day's (13.4.2011) Performance
1. Buy SBIN Dec 2011 CE 2000 at 13-16 TGT 22/29/32 - No SL , loss only Rs. 1625/- - holding


Day's (12.12.11) Performance
1.
Buy SBIN Dec 2011 CE 2000 at 13-16 TGT 22/29/32 - No SL , loss only Rs. 1625/- - holding
2. Buy Nifty Dec 2011 PE at 75-85 TGT 102/110/125 SL 54.40 - call not executed
3. Buy SBIN 1846 or CMP SL 1797 TGT 1900/1915/1919 - ultimate TGT 2050 - SL Hit
4. Buy Axis Bank 985 or CMP SL 965 TGT 1000/1010/1017/1025 - ultimate TGT 1050 - 1st TGT Hit, holding

Day's (09.12.11) Performance
Buy Nifty fut at 4900-4905 TGT 4940/4975/4993 SL 4854 - 1st TGT achieved

Day's (08.12.11) Performance

1. L&T Dec Fut Bought at 1330 hit SL 1313 - Loss of Rs. 4250/-
2. Reliance Dec Fut bought at 805.15 hit SL 791 - Loss of Rs. 3537.50
3. Buy Nifty Dec 2011 CE 5100 bought at 67 - holding


Day's (07.12.11) Performance
1. Buy SBIN Fut at 1870/1875 TGT 1897.60/1910 SL 1854.75 - call was given on 06.12.11 and both the target achieved on 07.12.11 (Profit Rs. 5000/-)
2. Buy Nifty Dec Fut at 5051.10 SL 5007 TGT 5107/5120/5133 - call was given on 06.12.11 and 1st and 2 nd Target achieved and booked profit at 5128 on 07.12.11 (profit Rs. 3845/-)
3. Buy Nifty 4900 Dec PE at 60-65 SL 47 TGT 84 - call was given on 05.12.11 and Stop loss hit on 07.12.11 (loss Rs. 900/-)

Day's (05.12.11) Performance
1. Buy Nifty 4900 PE (DEC 2011) at 60-65 SL 45.75 TGT 83/97 - call open - made a high of 74
2. Sell L & T Dec 2011 Fut at 1320 SL 1351 TGT 1290/1271/1263 - call closed at 1315- made a low of 1301 (profit - Rs. 1250/-)
3. Buy Infy above 2704 SL 2691 TGT 2714/2725/2740 - 1st & 2nd TGT achieved - call closed at 2714 -(Profit Rs. 10/- per share)
4. Buy SBIN Fut at 1870-1875 TGT 1897.60/1910 SL 1854.75 - 1st TGT achieved & made a high of 1906 - call open (profit 4500/-)
5. Buy Nifty Dec Fut at 5051.10 SL 5007 TGT 5107/5120/5133 - made a high of 5086 - call open

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